Posted by Ryan
April made for an interesting month. Although I made money overall, all bets I posted on the blog showed a small loss (-3% to be exact).
As such, I want to emphasize how important it is to scour MLB lines. There are so many games that there are usually good lines to be found after late line moves take place. These are the types of lines I didn’t post, as the game would have already started before anyone saw the post. I also lucked out and got some prices that quickly disappeared, so those rounded out the bets I didn’t post.
Here are April’s results:
# of Bets: 395
Record: 219-155-21 (wins-losses-pushes)
Win %: 58.56%
ROI: 2.47%
Bankroll Growth: 9.65%
I made 395 bets with a record of 219-155-21, for a 58.56% winning percentage. Of all money wagered, 2.47% was returned as profit. Also, my bankroll has increased by 9.65% of its initial amount at the start of the month.
Daily Results
Here is a graph of the daily ups and downs I experienced during April:
Summary
April started out a struggle, as I made some bonehead overbets in MLB by betting a lot of correlated events. This made for some huge up and downswings. After correcting this mistake, I luckily showed steady growth over the rest of the month, as the graph indicates.
How did you do?
How were your betting results in April?
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Posted by Ryan
After posting winning months in January and February, I post my first losing month in March.
Here are March’s results:
# of Bets: 228
Record: 119-107-2 (wins-losses-pushes)
Win %: 52.65%
ROI: -3.69%
Bankroll Growth: -11.11%
I made 228 bets with a record of 119-107-2, for a 52.65% winning percentage. Of all money wagered, 3.69% was lost. Also, my bankroll has decreased by 11.11% of its initial amount at the start of the month.
Daily Results
Here is a graph of the daily ups and downs I experienced during March:
Summary
March marked an end to my unsustainable winning, yet a few good things came out of the month. Most importantly (with the help of TomG) I was able to find and fix errors with the NHL and MLB models. This obviously doesn’t help March results, but it should make a big difference going forward.
How did you do?
How were your betting results in March?
Posted by Ryan
Here are February’s results:
# of Bets: 117
Record: 94-23-0 (wins-losses-pushes)
Win %: 80.34%
ROI: 15.73%
Bankroll Growth: 43.06%
I made 117 bets with a record of 94-23, for a 80.34% winning percentage. Of all money wagered, 15.73% was returned as profit. Also, my bankroll has grown by 43.06% of its initial amount at the start of the month.
Daily Results
Here is a graph of the daily ups and downs I experienced during February:
Summary
February was an incredible month for me, as I went through a winning streak that spanned 12 days and left me with a record of 49-2. This lead to a 50% ROI over that period, meaning half of all money wagered was returned as profit. As fun as it was to experience this streak, it is unlikely I’ll ever experience such a streak in the future.
Thanks in large part to this tremendous streak, I am again above my expectations for this month. So again I’ll warn that while I do expect to profit going forward, I expect my return to be lower than the actual return for this month.
How did you do?
How were your betting results in February?
Posted by Ryan
Although I have results trackers for each individual sport, one thing I’ve never provided is an ongoing results tally for all bets I make.
Starting this year, I plan to make a monthly post to recap the previous months results. This is the first such post.
Here are January’s results:
# of Bets: 120
Record: 79-41-0 (wins-losses-pushes)
Win %: 65.83%
ROI: 12.83%
Bankroll Growth: 35.13%
I made 120 bets with a record of 79-41, for a 65.83% winning percentage. Of all money wagered, 12.83% was returned as profit. Also, my bankroll has grown by 35.13% of its initial amount at the start of the month.
Daily Results
Here is a graph of the daily ups and downs I experienced during January:
Summary
The NHL bets continue to perform well, although this month has shown that it is possible for a short time span to have results higher than expectation.
In the future I expect to have results lower than the expectation. Rarely does a bet have an expected ROI of higher than 12%, so I consider this to have been a lucky month.
How did you do?
How were your betting results in January?
Posted by Ryan
Although the season is a little over halfway complete, the All Star break marks the perrfect time to divide the season into halves. As such, here is a recap of my 1st half results:
# of Bets: 283
Record: 171-106-6 (wins-losses-pushes)
Win %: 61.73%
ROI: 7.54%
Bankroll Growth: 58.82%
I made 283 bets with a record of 171-106-6, for a 61.73% winning percentage. Of all money wagered, 7.54% was returned as profit. Also, my bankroll has grown by 58.82% of its initial amount. In other words, my bankroll is now 158.82% of what it was when the season started.
Daily Results
Here is a graph of the daily ups and downs I experienced during the 1st half of the season:
Summary
The puck lines have performed very well thus far. With an ROI of 10.30%, these bets account for roughly 40% of the 58.82% bankroll growth. This return is slightly higher than expected, so I expect the second half results to regress towards the true expectation.
This does not mean I expect to lose money betting puck lines for the rest of the season. Instead, this means I expect the propotion of profit to be closer to the true expectation than what the 1st half was.
How did you do?
How were your betting results over the 1st half of the NHL season?
