Posted by Ryan

Based on this morning’s odds at Pinnacle, below are the fair odds of each team winning the 2008 NBA championship:

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Posted by Ryan

There isn’t a lot so far today, as I’ve only made two bets:

Philadelphia 76ers +400
% of Bankroll: 0.77%
Los Angeles Lakers @ Golden State Warriors: GSW Team Total o114.5 (-110)
% of Bankroll: 0.57%

Don’t bet the 76ers at +350, but if you can get close to +400 then you’ve got a good price.

The Warriors are going up against the Lakers again tonight, and their team total over 114.5 at -110 has a small amount of value.

Posted by Ryan

What better way to celebrate Easter than to make a few bets?!

It’s still very early, so more opportunities might become available later, but here is what I’ve bet so far:

San Antonio Spurs +150 over Dallas Mavericks
% of Bankroll: 0.53%

New York Islanders +1.5 (-140) over Philadelphia Flyers
% of Bankroll: 3.89%

Hopefully the Easter bunny leaves a few treats in your basket today.

Posted by Ryan

NBA

I’ve bet a few underdog money lines I feel have value tonight, and they are:

Minnesota Timberwolves +210
% of Bankroll: 0.37%
Toronto Raptors +160
% of Bankroll: 0.30%
Los Angeles Clippers +700
% of Bankroll: 0.70%
Houston Rockets +160
% of Bankroll: 0.53%

I’ve also made a large bet on the Wizards money line, but it’s probably a good idea not to follow me into that fish trap.

NHL

The bleeding continues in the NHL, but here’s what I’ve got for tonight (for better or for worse):

New York Islanders +1.5 (-120)
% of Bankroll: 5.66%
Atlanta Thrashers +1.5 (-180)
% of Bankroll: 3.47%
Toronto Maple Leafs +1.5 (-170)
% of Bankroll: 1.74%
Minnesota Wild +1.5 (-260)
% of Bankroll: 1.96%

Posted by Ryan

NBA

There is a small amount of value tonight with the Bobcats and Rockets money lines. Also, Seattle at +10.5 or higher appears to be a good bet.

Charlotte Bobcats +185
% of Bankroll: 0.43%
Houston Rockets +195
% of Bankroll: 0.47%
Seattle Supersonics +10.5 (-110)
% of Bankroll: 0.92%

NHL

The Blue Jackets are getting very good odds today. You should be able to find a pretty good price for them right now, but I don’t expect that to last all day.

Atlanta Thrashers +1.5 (-200)
% of Bankroll: 1.82%
Tampa Bay Lightning +1.5 (-185)
% of Bankroll: 1.01%
Columbus Blue Jackets +1.5 (-110)
% of Bankroll: 5.25%
Minnesota Wild +1.5 (-205)
% of Bankroll: 1.13%

Posted by Ryan

NBA

I’ve made just a few very small bets on some NBA money lines tonight. Although I didn’t bet the game, I expect Houston to continue their streak tonight. At current prices, however, they just aren’t a good bet.

The 3 prices I bet are:

Miami Heat +450
% of Bankroll: 0.31%
Los Angeles Lakers +210
% of Bankroll: 0.38%
Sacramento Kings +140
% of Bankroll: 0.19%

NHL

I’ve also made 3 bets in the NHL for tonight’s games, and all of them appear to be very good bets.

Just be careful, however, as the Kings price might not be widely available. Therefore, if you run into a price like -200 then drastically scale back the amount you bet.

The 3 prices I bet are:

Atlanta Thrashers +1.5 (-150)
% of Bankroll: 2.45%
St. Louis Blues +1.5 (-155)
% of Bankroll: 3.57%
Los Angeles Kings +1.5 (-185)
% of Bankroll: 3.96%

Posted by Ryan

Happy Saint Patrick’s Day! Don’t forget to drink a beer (or two, or three) today.

I’ve only found value with two games so far, although I’m anticipating some value might come around later after some line movement takes place.

For now, the 2 prices I bet are:

Atlanta Hawks +220
% of Bankroll: 1.12%
Toronto Raptors +1050
% of Bankroll: 1.08%

Posted by Ryan

The past two days have not been kind to me. I’ve decreased by bankroll by 18.6% so far this month, 17% of which has come over the past two days.

Although this isn’t likely to occur, it is part of the game we play. There is a lot more value in the NHL today, so hopefully the puck flies my way today.

I’ve bet a total of 9 prices today:

NBA

Miami Heat +16.5 (-110)
% of Bankroll: 1.00%
Charlotte Bobcats +290
% of Bankroll: 0.14%
Toronto Raptors +170
% of Bankroll: 0.36%

NHL

Carolina Hurricanes +1.5 (-225)
% of Bankroll: 2.73%
Columbus Blue Jackets +1.5 (-205)
% of Bankroll: 3.02%
Chicago Blackhawks +1.5 (-285) - Alternative Puck Line
% of Bankroll: 1.88%
Boston Bruins +1.5 (-180)
% of Bankroll: 1.25%
Atlanta Thrashers +1.5 (-140)
% of Bankroll: 3.59%
Edmonton Oilers +1.5 (-120)
% of Bankroll: 4.63%

Posted by Ryan

Let me first say I expect to lose these bets.

In fact, I expect to go 0-3 on these bets over 58% of the time! That said, these bets have good value that will make money over the long term.

Hopefully I will get lucky and the Grizzlies will win tonight. It’s not likely, but it’s going to happen more than 5.3% of the time (the percentage needed to break even at +1800 odds).

The 3 prices I bet are:

Indiana Pacers +625
% of Bankroll: 0.68%
Minnesota Timberwolves +400
% of Bankroll: 0.55%
Memphis Grizzlies +1800
% of Bankroll: 0.89%

Posted by Ryan

NBA

There isn’t a whole lot of value available in the NBA marketplace, but I did manage to make these 3 bets:

Charlotte Bobcats +650
% of Bankroll: 1.16%
Indiana Pacers +1200
% of Bankroll: 0.86%
Toronto Raptors +425
% of Bankroll: 0.41%

NHL

The best bets are in the NHL tonight, as these 3 bets should still be made in the face of a small line move (as always, though, for a smaller stake).

Atlanta Thrashers +1.5 (-130)
% of Bankroll: 4.02%
Florida Panthers +1.5 (-240)
% of Bankroll: 2.21%
St. Louis Blues +1.5 (-145)
% of Bankroll: 3.34%